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Value moving up the tech stack

Past performance does not predict future returns. You may get back less than you originally invested. Reference to specific securities is not intended as a recommendation to purchase or sell any investment.

Simon [00:00:09] Welcome to this Global Innovation video in which Clare and Storm are going to talk about the tech stack following their recent visit to Silicon Valley. Clare, can you remind us about the tech stack, what is it and why is this important?

Clare [00:00:25] This new technology cycle, we need a new technology stack. That starts off at the base layer with your AI infrastructure. Think of your semiconductors, your networking, the equipment to make these chips. You've then got models infused into this hardware. Think of this as giving AI its brain. On top of that, you've got engineering tools that really take these models to enterprises, customers and enables them to deploy AI. And then finally, you've got the applications. And the application layer is where the ultimate value accrues in this technology stack, but it's also where the greatest disruption arises. Now, up until really a couple of months ago, the vast majority of value in this tech stack lay in that bottom layer. We're still in the early innings of the AI build out. We are starting to see though value make its way up the technology stack and some emerging winners in that application layer. And when we think about the opportunity for agential AI, which is really what that top layer is, this is a market opportunity that is going after both software as well as services. So this is the market that's not measured in the billions, it's measured in the trillions. It's approximately $10 trillion, in fact, and we think that the greatest opportunities are in those companies actually going after the services profit pool and creating entirely new markets in doing so. For example, in the US, the labour profit pool for medical practitioners is about $450 billion. There's a company that we hold called Doximity that really started off as the LinkedIn for doctors. It's now becoming the digital office for doctors and their AI tools, they've launched something called Doximity GPT. They're halving the paperwork for doctors every single day. Now this is a supply-constrained profession, we need more doctors. So if doctors can take back half of their day and see more patients, this isn't job displacement, this is pure productivity uplift.

Simon [00:02:39] So Storm, how widespread would these benefits be for companies at the top of the tech stack?

Storm [00:02:44] So this trip was very different to the trip we had about a year ago. And the differences is that we moved from experimentation to deployment. And the way we can spot that is through revenues per employee. So that's a key metric for us going forward. This has a significant implication on the winners of the last decade because they're built on top of traditional compute. Now, if you have the winners of the next decade already deploying AI at scale into the market, that means that traditional companies that have been market leaders over the last decade, built on slow, expensive, traditional computing, and not competitive with the younger, smaller, more nimble companies that have integrated and moved into deployment of AI systems going forward. What that means is that the winners of the next decade are companies that are moving faster, they're able to deploy new products and services into the market, which are cheaper and better than the incumbents. And they're able to drive better efficiencies for their business model going forward. So that's revenue per employee. We're starting to see these two markets diverge as we sit today. And this is the first time we've really sat down in front of senior management teams and either they are meeting new demand because their products are better and cheaper because they're built on top of accelerated computing and the new technology stack as Claire talked about, or they're built on traditional computing and they are not competitive going forward. And those CEOs, CFOs are very worried about the future going forward.

Simon [00:04:12] Clare, are there any other developments you saw in Silicon Valley that changes any of your investment views?

Clare [00:04:17] Cyber security was a structural standout. We met with a lot of the ecosystem. And when we think about agential AI, the demands tied to cyber security open up a significant opportunity, because every single AI agent is a threat. And there's the dual opportunity of being able to train your own AI agents to actually hunt cyber threats as well. However, not every single company has got the right technology or indeed the right end market to capitalise on this opportunity, in our opinion. There are really three pillars within cyber security that we think are going to define the winners of the next decade. One is identity, second is cloud, and the third is endpoint. And the key competitive advantages that we're looking for in our investments are really tied to having a platform approach and a significant data advantage. Because if you're training an agent to go and hunt for cyber security threats, you've got to train it on a lot of data. For cloud, that Zscaler, they actually generate 80% of the world's security logs. So a vast data advantage versus traditional players like a Fortinet or Palo Alto. For the endpoint, that's CrowdStrike. They've got these agents installed on all the laptops and mobiles that we use every single day. And what we're seeing from CrowdStrike's embrace of AI in training these agents is a 700% faster detection time versus the industry average. And lastly, a new investment in the Global Technology Fund following our trip is SailPoint Technologies in identity. So they really control the access within an enterprise like Liontrust, saying whether Simon or Storm can see certain applications. They connect up to 27,000 enterprise applications in an organisation, which also serves as a tremendous moat. So we came away with an appreciation both of the opportunity, but also of the changing competitive dynamics in cyber security. Things are moving very quickly, it's really Zscaler, CrowdStrike that are making these waves.

Simon [00:06:39] Thank you, Clare. Thank you Storm. Thank you for watching. And we'll see you for the next Global Innovation video.

KEY RISKS

Past performance does not predict future returns. You may get back less than you originally invested.

We recommend this fund is held long term (minimum period of 5 years). We recommend that you hold this fund as part of a diversified portfolio of investments.

The Funds managed by the Global Innovation team:

  • May consider environmental, social and governance ("ESG") characteristics of issuers when selecting investments for the Funds.
  • May hold overseas investments that may carry a higher currency risk. They are valued by reference to their local currency which may move up or down when compared to the currency of a Fund.
  • May have a concentrated portfolio, i.e. hold a limited number of investments or have significant sector or factor exposures. If one of these investments or sectors / factors fall in value this can have a greater impact on the Fund's value than if it held a larger number of investments across a more diversified portfolio.
  • May encounter liquidity constraints from time to time. The spread between the price you buy and sell shares will reflect the less liquid nature of the underlying holdings.
  • Outside of normal conditions, may hold higher levels of cash which may be deposited with several credit counterparties (e.g. international banks). A credit risk arises should one or more of these counterparties be unable to return the deposited cash.
  • Do not guarantee a level of income.

The risks detailed above are reflective of the full range of Funds managed by the Global Innovation team and not all of the risks listed are applicable to each individual Fund. For the risks associated with an individual Fund, please refer to its Key Investor Information Document (KIID)/PRIIP KID.

The issue of units/shares in Liontrust Funds may be subject to an initial charge, which will have an impact on the realisable value of the investment, particularly in the short term. Investments should always be considered as long term.

DISCLAIMER

This material is issued by Liontrust Investment Partners LLP (2 Savoy Court, London WC2R 0EZ), authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 518552) to undertake regulated investment business.

It should not be construed as advice for investment in any product or security mentioned, an offer to buy or sell units/shares of Funds mentioned, or a solicitation to purchase securities in any company or investment product. Examples of stocks are provided for general information only to demonstrate our investment philosophy. The investment being promoted is for units in a fund, not directly in the underlying assets.

This information and analysis is believed to be accurate at the time of publication, but is subject to change without notice. Whilst care has been taken in compiling the content, no representation or warranty is given, whether express or implied, by Liontrust as to its accuracy or completeness, including for external sources (which may have been used) which have not been verified.

This is a marketing communication. Before making an investment, you should read the relevant Prospectus and the Key Investor Information Document (KIID) and/or PRIIP/KID, which provide full product details including investment charges and risks. These documents can be obtained, free of charge, from www.liontrust.com or direct from Liontrust. If you are not a professional investor please consult a regulated financial adviser regarding the suitability of such an investment for you and your personal circumstances.

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