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Liontrust European Dynamic Fund

September 2022 review

Past performance does not predict future returns. You may get back less than you originally invested. Reference to specific securities is not intended as a recommendation to purchase or sell any investment.

The Fund returned -5.2%* in sterling terms in September. The MSCI Europe ex-UK index comparator benchmark returned -4.8% and the average return made by funds in the IA Europe ex-UK sector, also a comparator benchmark, was -5.5%.

 

In the second hike of its tightening cycle, the European Central Bank opted for a larger move of 75 basis points, taking its deposit rate to 0.75%. ECB President Christine Lagarde commented that there would be several further rate rises as it looks to bring inflation back towards its 2% target. With eurozone CPI still sitting at 9.1% in August, markets are currently pricing in a peak policy rate of 2.5%.

 

The US Federal Reserve lifted rates by the same margin, taking them to a target range of 3.0% to 3.25%. Coming in the aftermath of a higher-than-expected inflation reading of 8.3%, the decision was accompanied by comments from Fed Chair Jay Powell on the necessity for further hikes and likelihood of economic slowdown.

 

Global geopolitical tensions remained extremely elevated, with Putin beginning the process of annexing four regions in south-east Ukraine following referenda which were internationally condemned as illegitimate. This volatile backdrop and the prospect of more aggressive monetary tightening prompted a bout of risk aversion that ensured all sectors of the MSCI Europe index finished the month in negative territory. As well as the defensive attractions of healthcare (-1.8%), the rate-sensitivity of financials (-1.9%) was responsible for some relative sector strength.

 

The Fund has exposure to both areas. Roche (+6.0%) was its best-performing pharmaceutical holding on read-across from encouraging results in slowing Alzheimer’s from rival firms Eisai and Biogen. Roche is developing its own Alzheimer’s drug which follows a similar approach of targeting amyloid build-up.

 

Within financials, both Caixabank (+12%) and Bank of Ireland (+8.5%) benefited from the outlook for monetary policy. Only last month, Bank of Ireland upgraded its net interest income guidance based on the expectation of higher benchmark interest rates.

 

Top-down trends were also dominant in determining the Fund’s poorest performers in September. Neither AP Moller Maersk (-21%) nor Pandora (-18%) issued significant newsflow during the month but both would be considered cyclical businesses. Aker BP (-15%) tracked the oil price lower in the absence of any corporate updates. Brent crude fell 9% to $88 a barrel during September and is down almost 30% since the end of May.

 

Positive contributors to performance included:

Caixabank (+12%), Bank of Ireland (+8.5%) and Roche (+6.0%)

 

Negative contributors to performance included:

AP Moller Maersk (-21%), Pandora (-18%) and Aker BP (-15%).

 

Discrete years' performance** (%), to previous quarter-end:

 

Past performance does not predict future returns

 

 

Sep-22

Sep-21

Sep-20

Sep-19

Sep-18

Liontrust European Dynamic I Inc

-8.7%

42.8%

3.5%

-3.0%

6.8%

MSCI Europe ex UK

-12.8%

20.9%

-0.5%

5.8%

1.3%

IA Europe Excluding UK

-16.1%

22.4%

3.1%

2.2%

1.9%

Quartile

1

1

2

4

1

 

*Source: Financial Express, as at 30.09.22, total return (net of fees and income reinvested), bid-to-bid, institutional class. Non fund-related return data sourced from Bloomberg.

 

**Source: Financial Express, as at 30.09.22, total return (net of fees and income reinvested), bid-to-bid, primary class.

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KEY RISKS

Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of an investment and the income generated from it can fall as well as rise and is not guaranteedYou may get back less than you originally invested.

The issue of units/shares in Liontrust Funds may be subject to an initial charge, which will have an impact on the realisable value of the investment, particularly in the short term. Investments should always be considered as long term.

Investment in Funds managed by the Cashflow Solution team involves foreign currencies and may be subject to fluctuations in value due to movements in exchange rates. Some of the Funds may invest in derivatives. The use of derivatives may create leverage or gearing. A relatively small movement in the value of a derivative's underlying investment may have a larger impact, positive or negative, on the value of a fund than if the underlying investment was held instead. Some of the funds may hold a concentrated portfolio of stocks. If the price of one of these stocks should move significantly, this may have a notable effect on the value of the respective portfolio.

DISCLAIMER

This is a marketing communication. Before making an investment, you should read the relevant Prospectus and the Key Investor Information Document (KIID), which provide full product details including investment charges and risks. These documents can be obtained, free of charge, from www.liontrust.co.uk or direct from Liontrust. Always research your own investments. If you are not a professional investor please consult a regulated financial adviser regarding the suitability of such an investment for you and your personal circumstances.

This should not be construed as advice for investment in any product or security mentioned, an offer to buy or sell units/shares of Funds mentioned, or a solicitation to purchase securities in any company or investment product. Examples of stocks are provided for general information only to demonstrate our investment philosophy. The investment being promoted is for units in a fund, not directly in the underlying assets. It contains information and analysis that is believed to be accurate at the time of publication, but is subject to change without notice. Whilst care has been taken in compiling the content of this document, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by Liontrust as to its accuracy or completeness, including for external sources (which may have been used) which have not been verified. It should not be copied, forwarded, reproduced, divulged or otherwise distributed in any form whether by way of fax, email, oral or otherwise, in whole or in part without the express and prior written consent of Liontrust.

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