The Liontrust Global Technology Fund returned 7.1% over the fourth quarter of the year, versus the MSCI World Technology Index’s return of 12.7% and IA Technology & Telecommunications sector gain of 4.4% (both comparator benchmarks)*.
Global Equities had a strong end to the year, blunted modestly by the spread of the latest Covid-19 variant (Omicron) towards the end of December, prompting more restrictions and a push for a vaccine booster. Inflation concerns remain front of mind with central banks now weighing up the number and extent of interest rate raises coming in the next 12 months, sending some jitters through the market, particularly to higher growth stocks.
Technology focused equities had a strong quarter capping another great year. Third quarter earnings remained robust and technology companies seem primed for whatever a “post-Covid” world may look like. The exception to this remains China where the regulatory bodies seem unwilling to relent in its efforts to exert its control on their technology companies and force them towards the government agenda. This combined with fears of contagion from its housing debt crisis and the inflexible “zero covid” policy has seen Chinese tech stocks continue to underperform.
Overall, this quarter, the technology Index (MSCI World/Information Technology) outperformed the wider global equity benchmark (MSCI ACWI) returning 12.7% and 6.2% respectively.
The fund liquidity position remains very strong with a weighted average market cap of over £200bn compared to a fund size of around £130m. We have no position in a company with a market cap below the £1bn mark and stress testing indicates the fund is easily able to be liquidated in its entirety well within just 1 working day while remaining below the 20% Monthly ADV (Average Daily Volume) threshold even during periods of market stress like in March 2020.
The main detracting factor of the fund (and its peers) vs. the benchmark remains the substantial underweighting of Index heavyweights Apple and Microsoft. This is not deliberate however, as the benchmark has held these two at a combined weight of over 30% (currently over 36%), while the Fund is only allowed a maximum weighting of 10% each. Holding the maximum is also not prudent from the view of maintaining a balanced and efficient portfolio point of view, thus, despite being bullish on these stocks, we only hold them at around a 15% combined position, a 15-20% underweight that has been costly due to their continued outperformance of the benchmark.
For example, this past year alone Apple returned 34.4% and Microsoft 52.5% (in GBP), vs. 32% for the benchmark Over 5 years, Apple and Microsoft have returned 494% and 431% vs 238% for our benchmark, a substantial amount of outperformance.
Nvidia, Apple and Microsoft were the Fund’s top performers over the quarter, with other notable contributions from semiconductor company AMD +39.2% and semiconductor capital equipment manufacturers Tokyo Electron +28.7%, KLA +28.2% and Lam Research +26.0%. All benefitting from an increase in chip demand and subsequent fab buildouts and spend planned for the next few years to continue to drive this key component of the digitising economy.
On the other side of the ledger, worries over rate rises and slowing growth trends has had a large impact on some of the high-flying stocks of last year, including payments companies Block (formerly Square) and PayPal. Similarly, Twilio, after an exceptional year last year has been clipped as investors fear fading growth coinciding with a less friendly rate environment.
In terms of portfolio changes over the quarter, the fund entered positions in Applied Materials, Autodesk and CyberArk. CyberArk is a former holding and a leader in key person identity management in cybersecurity and is added to buildout our position in the cybersecurity space that we see as a long-term beneficiary of increased digital spend.
Applied materials joins our collection of successful investments in semiconductor equipment manufacturers that are benefitting from a massive ramp up in capital equipment spend announced by major fab companies looking to expand operations to keep up with fast growing demands of the digital economy. Finally, Autodesk is the leading provider of design and simulation software and provide indispensable tools to aid engineers, architects and builders.
The Fund exited Pegasystems, a CRM software provider, to raise the cash to enter into positions in promising prospects listed above.
The outlook on equity markets is cautious. Central banks look set to raise rates as they grow increasingly weary of recent inflation. Meanwhile, the long-term picture for the economy remains uncertain, with the possibility of continued cycles of Covid variants and restrictions to potentially plague us for years to come.
From an investor perspective, while increased policy rates will likely have short term negative consequences for high duration assets like fast growing technology stocks, we believe high quality companies providing vital technology goods and services continue to be a fantastic place to invest. They both benefit from, and continue to drive forward, the digitisation trends that have now remained resilient both during the height of the pandemic and continue on now. These trends include the rise of ecommerce, the shift to cloud software and cloud infrastructure, digital payments and next generation entertainment. We believe now more than ever it is important to actively seek and discern high performing companies from those whose value is more speculative and that by focussing on a company’s key financial metrics supporting a strong investment narrative and a discounted cash flow valuation we can continue to provide long term outperformance in this exciting sector through careful and attentive active management.
Discrete years' performance (%)**, to previous quarter-end:
|
Dec-21 |
Dec-20 |
Dec-19 |
Dec-18 |
Dec-17 |
Liontrust Global Technology C Acc GBP |
23.2% |
43.9% |
23.7% |
14.0% |
28.4% |
MSCI World Information Technology |
31.0% |
39.3% |
41.9% |
3.5% |
26.3% |
IA Technology & Telecommunications |
17.6% |
44.4% |
31.0% |
2.4% |
23.8% |
Quartile |
2 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
*Source: FE Analytics as at 31.12.21
**Source: FE Analytics as at 31.12.21. Quartiles generated on 12.01.22
Key Risks