The Liontrust Global Dividend Fund returned 6.4% in the fourth quarter, compared with 7.3% from the MSCI World Index and 6.1% from the IA Global Equity Income sector (both comparator benchmarks)*.
United Health (+28%) continues to execute every quarter and was the top performer for the Fund over the final three months of the year. After decades consolidating the healthcare insurance industry (still only at 10-12% market share), the company is starting to benefit from its use of big data insights across its business. In particular, the Optum division that provides data insights to optimise healthcare treatment is enabling a once slow and efficient US healthcare sector to drive productivity improvements.
With healthcare spending as a 20% of US GDP − there is significant opportunity for United Health to drive significant customer value across various healthcare verticals. As a result, we see the company which has averaged 19% p.a dividend growth over the last 5 years, as one of the world best income stocks that hardly anyone else owns.
One of the top performing stocks for the year was Intuit (+26%), which we bought in late March 2020. The US accounting software giant has continued to execute across all divisions and gained significant share in the small-to-medium enterprise accounting market. However, the company’s share price has begun to run far ahead of intrinsic value and in November we reviewed the holding and sold. In addition, we reduced our target weights in Costco (+26%) and Estee Lauder (+22%) due to our valuation discipline as these core holdings extended their strong share price performance.
Unfortunately, during this time we did not hold several strong performing income stocks, popular to our peers, such as Procter & Gamble, Nestle, Relx and PepsiCo. While several of these stocks are on our Global Innovation 200 Watchlist, at typically over a 25x price to earnings ratio, and without exceptional growth prospects, they are too expensive for us.
After selling Anta Sports (-7%) in February this year due to the stock hitting our price target, in October we made a new investment in the company. Anta’s stock price peaked in June this year but has fallen 38% after supply chain issues related to the shortage of cotton in Q3.
This Chinese sports apparel retailer is better positioned in China with its brands, distribution, and online presence than Nike, Adidas, Lululemon and other domestic brands across mid-market and high-end sports apparel. With the Chinese governments shift to supporting domestic champions, we see the current stock price weakness a great opportunity to buy a high-quality business at a large discount to its intrinsic value.
This new investment takes our China weighting to 10% and towards the upper limit of how much capital we are comfortable allocating to China given the political and regulatory risks – but at current stock market prices of our Chinese holdings, we see these risks more than priced in.
A new holding for the fund, Epiroc (+22%) benefited from improved order flow for heavy underground mining machinery. Epiroc, based in Sweden, spun out of Atlas Copco a couple of years ago and has gone from strength to strength as a stand-alone company. Importantly, the company generates a large proportion of revenue from high recurring aftermarket sales, making Epiroc a high-quality capital goods manufacturer.
On top of expected organic growth of 4-6% per year from pricing improvements in the aftermarket – Epiroc has shifted to offer customers the ability to convert traditional combustion engines to electric power trains. The payback for this investment is between 2-3 years and makes underground mining safer and cleaner – this rapidly accelerating demand is driving both improved order flow and stock price strength.
We expect 2022 to present its fair share of surprises for investors. However, we believe that being invested in innovative global leaders equips us with the strong underlying fundamentals to deliver strong capital and income growth, and the resilience to deal with the challenges that are sure to be thrown our way. Meanwhile, our valuation discipline and strong bench of stocks in the form of our Global Innovation 200 watchlist gives us a toolkit that will hopefully help mitigate downside if volatility becomes extreme.
Discrete years' performance (%)**, to previous quarter-end:
|
Dec-21 |
Dec-20 |
Dec-19 |
Dec-18 |
Dec-17 |
Liontrust Global Dividend C Acc GBP |
16.1% |
16.7% |
34.0% |
-5.2% |
6.9% |
MSCI World |
22.9% |
12.3% |
22.7% |
-3.0% |
11.8% |
IA Global Equity Income |
18.7% |
3.3% |
18.6% |
-5.8% |
10.4% |
Quartile |
3 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
*Source: FE Analytics as at 31.12.21
**Source: FE Analytics as at 31.12.21. Quartile generated on 07.01.22
Key Risks